Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Doan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.8% vs Doan 48.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 77.9%
Defensive zone
Doan 70.2%
Neutral zone
Doan 74.2%
Result
Shane Doan favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Carter
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Carter
Doan
Last 5: Carter 1-4 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
1
2
Carter
Doan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
2
Carter
Doan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,137)
47.7% (149)
+5.7%
Power Play
48.7% (154)
46.9% (49)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
0.0% (1)
+42.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Carter is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Carter shoots right. Doan is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Carter
Doan
Home
54.8% (753)
50.0% (118)
Away
48.6% (662)
43.2% (81)
By Period
Carter
Doan
P1
52.8%
41.9%
P2
53.0%
50.0%
P3
49.9%
49.3%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Shane Doan |