Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Doan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Doan wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Doan 48.3% vs Ott 55.4% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 76.6%
Defensive zone
Ott 95.7%
Neutral zone
Ott 66.0%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Doan
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Doan
Ott
Last 7: Doan 4-3 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
4
0
Doan
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
2
Doan
Ott
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Doan
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Doan
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (451)
57.2% (2,802)
-8.6%
Power Play
46.3% (136)
55.4% (567)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
49.9% (853)
+0.1%
On power play, Ott has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Doan is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Doan shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Doan
Ott
Home
48.4% (312)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
47.6% (286)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Doan
Ott
P1
42.8%
56.7%
P2
48.3%
53.9%
P3
53.0%
55.7%
OT
33.3%
60.8%
Final 5 min
45.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Oct 25, 2011 | OT | 00:24 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Shane Doan |