Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zary on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Zary wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Pinto 50.1% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zary 80.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 84.4%
Neutral zone
Zary 50.8%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Zary
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Zary
Pinto
Last 10: Zary 4-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
4
0
Zary
Pinto
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Zary
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
4
Zary
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
50.4% (779)
-13.8%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
55.2% (29)
-13.5%
On even strength, Pinto has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Zary is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Zary shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Zary
Pinto
Home
38.8% (152)
52.4% (454)
Away
34.8% (89)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Zary
Pinto
P1
33.3%
48.1%
P2
31.7%
52.9%
P3
47.5%
49.3%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |