Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Wright 45.1% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 69.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 75.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 82.8%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Howden
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Howden
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
0
Howden
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Wright
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
43.9% (758)
+9.5%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
50.7% (67)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
40.0% (5)
+8.1%
On power play, Wright has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Howden
Wright
Home
48.8% (258)
46.3% (406)
Away
56.6% (258)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Howden
Wright
P1
54.0%
46.8%
P2
53.2%
42.6%
P3
50.9%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Shane Wright |