Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Wright 45.1% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 53.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 80.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 70.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Ryan
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ryan
Wright
Last 5: Ryan 3-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
Ryan
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
43.9% (758)
+17.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.7% (67)
+49.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
40.0% (5)
+11.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Ryan shoots right. Wright is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Ryan
Wright
Home
64.2% (137)
46.3% (406)
Away
55.8% (113)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Ryan
Wright
P1
58.9%
46.8%
P2
62.8%
42.6%
P3
59.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Shane Wright |