Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.1% vs 44.5%). Look for Byfield on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Byfield wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 44.6% vs Wright 45.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 53.1%
Defensive zone
Byfield 59.2%
Neutral zone
Byfield 61.1%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Byfield
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Byfield
Wright
Last 8: Byfield 5-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
0
Byfield
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Byfield
Wright
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
2
1
Byfield
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (853)
43.9% (758)
+0.6%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
50.7% (67)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
40.0% (5)
-1.8%
On power play, Wright has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Byfield is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Byfield shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Byfield
Wright
Home
43.8% (502)
46.3% (406)
Away
44.3% (440)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Byfield
Wright
P1
44.2%
46.8%
P2
43.0%
42.6%
P3
45.0%
44.4%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.2%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.1%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |