Scouting Report
Ryan Smyth holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Smyth wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smyth 45.8% vs Wright 43.3% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Wright 50.7%
Defensive zone
Wright 52.8%
Neutral zone
Wright 51.6%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Smyth
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smyth
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (456)
42.6% (1,318)
+2.6%
Power Play
51.8% (164)
45.8% (131)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
23.3% (43)
33.3% (6)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Wright has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Smyth is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Smyth shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Smyth
Wright
Home
49.7% (340)
44.2% (746)
Away
40.5% (326)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Smyth
Wright
P1
48.3%
44.4%
P2
41.7%
40.7%
P3
46.5%
44.0%
OT
25.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%