Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Cogliano wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 43.6% vs Horcoff 49.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 66.3%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 64.0%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 67.5%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Cogliano
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Cogliano
Horcoff
Last 9: Cogliano 3-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
1
0
Cogliano
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
5
Cogliano
Horcoff
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (308)
49.9% (976)
-5.7%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
49.4% (241)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
46.8% (233)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Horcoff has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Cogliano is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Cogliano shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Horcoff
Home
50.0% (188)
52.1% (755)
Away
34.3% (198)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Cogliano
Horcoff
P1
44.0%
49.3%
P2
41.3%
47.9%
P3
40.5%
50.7%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |