Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Horcoff 50.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 51.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 75.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 60.7%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Cizikas
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cizikas
Horcoff
Last 6: Cizikas 4-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Cizikas
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (723)
50.5% (374)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
55.0% (60)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (111)
39.5% (38)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Cizikas shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Horcoff
Home
56.5% (446)
50.2% (263)
Away
47.4% (409)
50.2% (209)
By Period
Cizikas
Horcoff
P1
57.0%
49.0%
P2
51.0%
53.2%
P3
48.7%
48.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
52.2%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |