Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Winnik wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 45.6% vs Horcoff 50.1% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Winnik 57.2%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 57.6%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 54.0%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Winnik
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Winnik
Horcoff
Last 6: Winnik 3-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Winnik
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
2
0
Winnik
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Winnik
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (162)
52.7% (347)
-7.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
40.0% (20)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (29)
36.0% (50)
-5.0%
On power play, Winnik has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Winnik is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Winnik shoots left. Horcoff is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Winnik
Horcoff
Home
55.9% (93)
57.0% (165)
Away
32.0% (103)
45.6% (252)
By Period
Winnik
Horcoff
P1
45.6%
46.8%
P2
42.2%
50.6%
P3
42.6%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.4%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2013 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 26, 2013 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 26, 2013 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 26, 2013 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 26, 2013 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 26, 2013 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |