Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Moss wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 44.7% vs Horcoff 49.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moss 64.1%
Defensive zone
Moss 62.7%
Neutral zone
Moss 65.2%
Result
David Moss favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Moss
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Moss
Horcoff
Last 9: Moss 3-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Moss
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
3
Moss
Horcoff
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Moss
Horcoff
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (158)
49.9% (976)
-6.2%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
49.4% (241)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
46.8% (233)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Horcoff has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Moss is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Moss shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Moss
Horcoff
Home
52.6% (95)
52.1% (755)
Away
34.4% (125)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Moss
Horcoff
P1
37.7%
49.3%
P2
42.6%
47.9%
P3
47.2%
50.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | David Moss |