Derek MacKenzie vs Shawn Horcoff
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 73.9%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 60.2%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 62.1%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
MacKenzie
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
18
(27 meetings)
9
18
MacKenzie
Horcoff
Last 10: MacKenzie 1-9 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
4
9
MacKenzie
Horcoff
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
3
9
MacKenzie
Horcoff
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
50.6% (3,133)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
51.4% (555)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
43.0% (567)
+3.7%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Horcoff
Home
54.0% (2,527)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
MacKenzie
Horcoff
P1
51.9%
48.2%
P2
53.0%
49.5%
P3
54.0%
50.9%
OT
65.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 09:06 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |