Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.2% vs Horcoff 48.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 51.4%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 53.3%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 54.4%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Arnott
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Arnott
Horcoff
Last 6: Arnott 0-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Arnott
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
3
Arnott
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Arnott
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (777)
51.8% (581)
-2.8%
Power Play
58.1% (93)
43.2% (125)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
38.1% (84)
-8.1%
On power play, Arnott has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Arnott is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Arnott shoots right. Horcoff is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Arnott
Horcoff
Home
51.1% (460)
49.2% (384)
Away
49.3% (434)
47.6% (429)
By Period
Arnott
Horcoff
P1
45.3%
45.8%
P2
54.2%
48.4%
P3
49.8%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.2%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |