Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.5%). Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 74.2%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 66.6%
Neutral zone
Arnott 53.1%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Arnott
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
17
(24 meetings)
7
17
Arnott
Horcoff
Last 10: Arnott 4-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
4
3
Arnott
Horcoff
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
7
Arnott
Horcoff
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
7
Arnott
Horcoff
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
50.6% (3,133)
-0.9%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
51.4% (555)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
43.0% (567)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Horcoff has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
Arnott
Horcoff
Home
52.1% (891)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
48.2% (772)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Arnott
Horcoff
P1
46.1%
48.2%
P2
53.6%
49.5%
P3
50.1%
50.9%
OT
71.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |