Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 47.3% vs Horcoff 48.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 69.0%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 57.1%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 63.4%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Staal
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Staal
Horcoff
Last 9: Staal 6-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Horcoff
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (552)
51.8% (581)
-4.2%
Power Play
49.1% (110)
43.2% (125)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (111)
38.1% (84)
-0.3%
On power play, Staal has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Staal shoots left. Horcoff is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (607).
Home / Away
Staal
Horcoff
Home
49.8% (400)
49.2% (384)
Away
44.1% (401)
47.6% (429)
By Period
Staal
Horcoff
P1
53.7%
45.8%
P2
43.9%
48.4%
P3
43.5%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |