Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Horcoff 49.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Staal
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Staal
Horcoff
Last 5: Staal 0-5 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Staal
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Staal
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Staal
Horcoff
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (790)
49.9% (976)
+2.4%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
49.4% (241)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (218)
46.8% (233)
-1.8%
On power play, Staal has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Staal is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Staal shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Staal
Horcoff
Home
54.9% (628)
52.1% (755)
Away
46.4% (530)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Staal
Horcoff
P1
50.3%
49.3%
P2
52.4%
47.9%
P3
50.4%
50.7%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |