Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 52.3% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Goc leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Goc 50.5%
Defensive zone
Goc 77.0%
Neutral zone
Goc 62.2%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Goc
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
9
(24 meetings)
15
9
Goc
Horcoff
Last 10: Goc 9-1 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
3
1
Goc
Horcoff
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
7
1
Goc
Horcoff
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
5
7
Goc
Horcoff
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (3,301)
50.6% (3,133)
+2.4%
Power Play
58.0% (314)
51.4% (555)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (728)
43.0% (567)
+4.4%
On power play, Goc has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Goc shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Goc
Horcoff
Home
53.9% (2,079)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
51.0% (2,296)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Goc
Horcoff
P1
51.9%
48.2%
P2
53.1%
49.5%
P3
52.4%
50.9%
OT
44.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2015 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |