Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Olver wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Olver 43.5% vs Horcoff 49.4% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Olver 56.4%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 54.1%
Neutral zone
Olver 56.7%
Result
Mark Olver favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Olver
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Olver
Horcoff
Last 5: Olver 2-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Olver
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Olver
1
0
Olver
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Olver
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Olver
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (85)
49.9% (976)
-14.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
49.4% (241)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.8% (233)
-46.8%
On penalty kill, Horcoff has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Olver is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Olver shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Olver
Horcoff
Home
40.0% (50)
52.1% (755)
Away
31.7% (41)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Olver
Horcoff
P1
26.1%
49.3%
P2
40.6%
47.9%
P3
38.9%
50.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
36.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Mark Olver |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |