Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.9% vs Horcoff 49.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 62.4%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 74.8%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 53.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Duchene
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Duchene
Horcoff
Last 10: Duchene 8-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
0
Duchene
Horcoff
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Duchene
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Duchene
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (357)
49.9% (976)
+1.1%
Power Play
53.6% (28)
49.4% (241)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
46.8% (233)
+3.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Duchene shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Duchene
Horcoff
Home
51.0% (208)
52.1% (755)
Away
51.4% (183)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Duchene
Horcoff
P1
53.3%
49.3%
P2
53.4%
47.9%
P3
44.6%
50.7%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2011 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 10:36 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |