Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.1%). Look for Lapierre on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 50.6% vs Horcoff 50.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 56.8%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 66.6%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 59.2%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Lapierre
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lapierre
Horcoff
Last 6: Lapierre 5-1 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
0
Lapierre
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
3
1
Lapierre
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (527)
52.7% (347)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
36.0% (50)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Horcoff has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Lapierre is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Lapierre shoots right. Horcoff is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Horcoff
Home
51.8% (309)
57.0% (165)
Away
49.6% (284)
45.6% (252)
By Period
Lapierre
Horcoff
P1
51.0%
46.8%
P2
57.2%
50.6%
P3
44.1%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.8%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |