Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 48.3%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.3% vs Horcoff 48.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 57.1%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 54.7%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 57.1%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Backlund
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Backlund
Horcoff
Last 8: Backlund 6-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
1
Backlund
Horcoff
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (568)
51.8% (581)
-2.9%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
43.2% (125)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (49)
38.1% (84)
-5.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Backlund is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Backlund shoots left. Horcoff is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (607).
Home / Away
Backlund
Horcoff
Home
50.8% (327)
49.2% (384)
Away
45.4% (337)
47.6% (429)
By Period
Backlund
Horcoff
P1
53.0%
45.8%
P2
47.8%
48.4%
P3
43.8%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |