Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 51.7% vs Horcoff 49.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 54.7%
Defensive zone
Marleau 51.0%
Neutral zone
Marleau 50.7%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Marleau
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Marleau
Horcoff
Last 5: Marleau 2-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Marleau
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Marleau
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
0
Marleau
Horcoff
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (347)
49.9% (976)
+0.2%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
49.4% (241)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (72)
46.8% (233)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Marleau is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Marleau shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Marleau
Horcoff
Home
54.8% (263)
52.1% (755)
Away
48.5% (204)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Marleau
Horcoff
P1
53.9%
49.3%
P2
47.5%
47.9%
P3
56.8%
50.7%
OT
14.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.0%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |