Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.1%). Look for Horcoff on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 50.7% vs Horcoff 51.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 70.6%
Defensive zone
Marleau 56.9%
Neutral zone
Marleau 50.9%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Marleau
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Marleau
Horcoff
Last 6: Marleau 2-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Marleau
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
0
Marleau
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
3
Marleau
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (437)
51.2% (537)
-2.2%
Power Play
70.6% (34)
66.7% (15)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (54)
47.3% (74)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Marleau is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Marleau shoots left. Horcoff is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Marleau
Horcoff
Home
55.1% (234)
52.5% (343)
Away
47.4% (291)
49.5% (283)
By Period
Marleau
Horcoff
P1
56.3%
48.2%
P2
48.5%
52.2%
P3
46.5%
52.7%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |