Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Berglund wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 46.8% vs Horcoff 49.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 51.1%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 63.1%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 51.1%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Berglund
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Berglund
Horcoff
Last 5: Berglund 3-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
1
Berglund
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Berglund
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (490)
46.9% (318)
-0.6%
Power Play
52.4% (63)
64.9% (94)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (50)
39.8% (88)
-1.8%
On power play, Horcoff has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Berglund is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Berglund shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Berglund
Horcoff
Home
49.8% (295)
46.7% (289)
Away
42.9% (308)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Berglund
Horcoff
P1
47.5%
49.4%
P2
46.4%
47.0%
P3
45.7%
50.9%
OT
20.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |