Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horak wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 43.1% vs Horcoff 49.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 65.1%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 71.4%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 66.4%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Horak
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horak
Horcoff
Last 5: Horak 3-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horak
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horak
2
1
Horak
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (399)
49.9% (976)
-9.8%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
49.4% (241)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (14)
46.8% (233)
+3.2%
On even strength, Horcoff has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Horak shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Horak
Horcoff
Home
40.5% (227)
52.1% (755)
Away
42.5% (214)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Horak
Horcoff
P1
42.3%
49.3%
P2
40.5%
47.9%
P3
41.5%
50.7%
Final 5 min
41.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
41.5%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |