Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kesler wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 56.0% vs Horcoff 50.2% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 76.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 84.8%
Neutral zone
Kesler 77.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Kesler
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kesler
Horcoff
Last 6: Kesler 5-1 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
0
Kesler
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,185)
50.5% (374)
+6.9%
Power Play
58.0% (243)
55.0% (60)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (236)
39.5% (38)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Kesler shoots right. Horcoff is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Kesler
Horcoff
Home
58.5% (793)
50.2% (263)
Away
54.3% (871)
50.2% (209)
By Period
Kesler
Horcoff
P1
57.0%
49.0%
P2
55.4%
53.2%
P3
56.7%
48.7%
OT
54.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2015 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |