Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pahlsson 52.4% vs Horcoff 49.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 84.9%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 70.3%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 56.5%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Pahlsson
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Pahlsson
Horcoff
Last 8: Pahlsson 2-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
3
Pahlsson
Horcoff
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Pahlsson
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Pahlsson
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pahlsson
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (782)
49.9% (976)
+4.4%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
49.4% (241)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (216)
46.8% (233)
-1.0%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Pahlsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Pahlsson shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Pahlsson
Horcoff
Home
51.8% (508)
52.1% (755)
Away
53.5% (518)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Pahlsson
Horcoff
P1
52.8%
49.3%
P2
52.1%
47.9%
P3
53.0%
50.7%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.6%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |