Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 48.7%). Look for Begin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horcoff 49.6% vs Begin 49.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 52.2%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 63.2%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 54.1%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Horcoff
Begin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Horcoff
Begin
Last 6: Horcoff 3-3 Begin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
0
Horcoff
Begin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
0
Horcoff
Begin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Begin
0
3
Horcoff
Begin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horcoff
Begin
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (3,133)
52.6% (95)
-2.0%
Power Play
51.4% (555)
100.0% (1)
-48.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (567)
28.6% (21)
+14.4%
On power play, Begin has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Begin shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Horcoff shoots left. Begin is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Horcoff
Begin
Home
51.1% (2,199)
52.1% (48)
Away
48.0% (2,104)
46.4% (69)
By Period
Horcoff
Begin
P1
48.2%
52.9%
P2
49.5%
40.0%
P3
50.9%
55.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Begin
56.0%▲
48.7%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Begin |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Steve Begin |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Steve Begin |