Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horcoff 51.0% vs Stamkos 50.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 55.7%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 68.7%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 68.5%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Horcoff
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Horcoff
Stamkos
Last 10: Horcoff 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horcoff
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
4
0
Horcoff
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horcoff
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horcoff
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (537)
49.9% (771)
+1.3%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
55.4% (74)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (74)
45.1% (82)
+2.2%
On power play, Horcoff has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Horcoff is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Horcoff shoots left. Stamkos is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (653).
Home / Away
Horcoff
Stamkos
Home
52.5% (343)
50.7% (487)
Away
49.5% (283)
49.1% (440)
By Period
Horcoff
Stamkos
P1
48.2%
46.1%
P2
52.2%
52.0%
P3
52.7%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2015 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |