Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horcoff 49.6% vs Kennedy 45.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 55.8%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 80.3%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 61.8%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Horcoff
Kennedy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Horcoff
Kennedy
Last 9: Horcoff 5-4 Kennedy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kennedy
0
4
Horcoff
Kennedy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
5
0
Horcoff
Kennedy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horcoff
Kennedy
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (3,133)
43.7% (311)
+6.9%
Power Play
51.4% (555)
46.3% (80)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (567)
25.0% (8)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Horcoff has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kennedy shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Horcoff shoots left. Kennedy is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Horcoff
Kennedy
Home
51.1% (2,199)
43.2% (192)
Away
48.0% (2,104)
44.2% (208)
By Period
Horcoff
Kennedy
P1
48.2%
39.2%
P2
49.5%
41.0%
P3
50.9%
50.0%
OT
51.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Kennedy
38.0%▼
41.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | OT | 02:51 | Offensive | Tyler Kennedy |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Tyler Kennedy |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Tyler Kennedy |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Tyler Kennedy |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |