Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kennedy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horcoff 49.4% vs Kennedy 48.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kennedy 70.7%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 73.0%
Neutral zone
Kennedy 51.5%
Result
Tyler Kennedy favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Horcoff
Kennedy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Horcoff
Kennedy
Last 7: Horcoff 3-4 Kennedy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kennedy
0
4
Horcoff
Kennedy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
3
0
Horcoff
Kennedy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horcoff
Kennedy
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (976)
49.1% (57)
+0.8%
Power Play
49.4% (241)
46.7% (30)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (233)
0.0% (1)
+46.8%
On penalty kill, Horcoff has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kennedy shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Horcoff shoots left. Kennedy is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Horcoff
Kennedy
Home
52.1% (755)
50.0% (34)
Away
46.5% (720)
45.5% (55)
By Period
Horcoff
Kennedy
P1
49.3%
46.2%
P2
47.9%
44.0%
P3
50.7%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Kennedy
38.0%▼
41.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2011 | OT | 02:51 | Offensive | Tyler Kennedy |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Tyler Kennedy |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Tyler Kennedy |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Tyler Kennedy |