Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 48.9%). Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horcoff 49.4% vs Smith 49.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 75.0%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 58.7%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 68.3%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Horcoff
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Horcoff
Smith
Last 10: Horcoff 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
4
1
Horcoff
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
0
Horcoff
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
3
2
Horcoff
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horcoff
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (976)
48.0% (761)
+1.9%
Power Play
49.4% (241)
70.4% (27)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (233)
49.5% (196)
-2.7%
On power play, Smith has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Horcoff shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Horcoff
Smith
Home
52.1% (755)
49.9% (523)
Away
46.5% (720)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Horcoff
Smith
P1
49.3%
47.5%
P2
47.9%
50.4%
P3
50.7%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |