Scouting Report
Chris Drury holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.5% vs Matthias 50.6% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 59.1%
Defensive zone
Drury 90.2%
Neutral zone
Drury 73.5%
Result
Chris Drury favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Drury
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drury
Matthias
Last 5: Drury 4-1 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Matthias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Matthias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (177)
51.0% (341)
+5.5%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
52.2% (23)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (36)
50.0% (4)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Drury is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Drury shoots right. Matthias is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Drury
Matthias
Home
60.0% (130)
50.6% (164)
Away
51.6% (95)
51.0% (206)
By Period
Drury
Matthias
P1
52.8%
51.1%
P2
49.3%
54.5%
P3
65.8%
45.5%
OT
80.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
58.0%▬
58.0%
56.4%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Chris Drury |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Chris Drury |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Chris Drury |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Chris Drury |