Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Turris wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 49.1% vs Matthias 45.4% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthias 72.5%
Defensive zone
Matthias 72.5%
Neutral zone
Matthias 74.6%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Turris
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Turris
Matthias
Last 8: Turris 2-6 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
3
Turris
Matthias
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
2
Turris
Matthias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Turris
Matthias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (648)
43.2% (310)
+7.1%
Power Play
41.1% (151)
57.1% (21)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (121)
43.8% (16)
+8.3%
On power play, Matthias has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Turris is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Turris shoots right. Matthias is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Turris
Matthias
Home
51.4% (453)
40.7% (172)
Away
46.7% (467)
47.4% (175)
By Period
Turris
Matthias
P1
50.7%
47.4%
P2
50.5%
46.0%
P3
45.6%
39.4%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 14:53 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |