Nicklas Backstrom vs Shawn Matthias
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Backstrom wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 51.3% vs Matthias 45.4% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthias 61.9%
Defensive zone
Matthias 65.2%
Neutral zone
Matthias 64.5%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Backstrom
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Backstrom
Matthias
Last 6: Backstrom 2-4 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
2
Backstrom
Matthias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Backstrom
Matthias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backstrom
Matthias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (654)
43.2% (310)
+8.0%
Power Play
50.9% (110)
57.1% (21)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (76)
43.8% (16)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Backstrom is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Backstrom shoots left. Matthias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Matthias
Home
52.0% (400)
40.7% (172)
Away
50.9% (440)
47.4% (175)
By Period
Backstrom
Matthias
P1
51.6%
47.4%
P2
51.1%
46.0%
P3
50.7%
39.4%
OT
65.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:49 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |