Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthias wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 46.6% vs Sestito 46.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Matthias leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthias 53.3%
Defensive zone
Matthias 51.6%
Neutral zone
Matthias 51.5%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Matthias
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Matthias
Sestito
Last 10: Matthias 5-5 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
3
0
Matthias
Sestito
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthias
Sestito
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sestito
1
3
Matthias
Sestito
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (1,716)
45.7% (457)
+0.7%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
55.6% (9)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (175)
34.2% (38)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Matthias has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Matthias shoots left. Sestito is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Matthias
Sestito
Home
46.9% (933)
48.0% (273)
Away
45.9% (1,069)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Matthias
Sestito
P1
47.8%
42.5%
P2
49.4%
42.1%
P3
41.6%
52.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |