Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 50.6% vs Sestito 47.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthias 67.6%
Defensive zone
Matthias 54.9%
Neutral zone
Matthias 54.0%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Matthias
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Matthias
Sestito
Last 5: Matthias 3-2 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
2
0
Matthias
Sestito
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthias
Sestito
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
1
Matthias
Sestito
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (341)
45.7% (230)
+5.3%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
62.5% (8)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
33.3% (12)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Matthias has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Matthias is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Matthias shoots left. Sestito is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Matthias
Sestito
Home
50.6% (164)
46.5% (142)
Away
51.0% (206)
45.0% (111)
By Period
Matthias
Sestito
P1
51.1%
43.9%
P2
54.5%
50.0%
P3
45.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
50.8%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |