Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthias wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 45.4% vs Zajac 56.7% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthias 88.6%
Defensive zone
Matthias 86.5%
Neutral zone
Matthias 90.8%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Matthias
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Matthias
Zajac
Last 9: Matthias 0-9 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Matthias
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
Matthias
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
5
Matthias
Zajac
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (310)
56.6% (641)
-13.4%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
64.9% (148)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
51.1% (92)
-7.3%
On even strength, Zajac has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Matthias is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Matthias shoots left. Zajac is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Matthias
Zajac
Home
40.7% (172)
57.2% (444)
Away
47.4% (175)
57.7% (437)
By Period
Matthias
Zajac
P1
47.4%
54.4%
P2
46.0%
61.5%
P3
39.4%
56.0%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |