Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Matthias wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 43.7% vs Fiddler 52.0% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fiddler 61.0%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 81.8%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 68.7%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Matthias
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Matthias
Fiddler
Last 5: Matthias 3-2 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthias
Fiddler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthias
Fiddler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
0
Matthias
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (358)
55.4% (737)
-14.1%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
56.7% (30)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (59)
40.9% (215)
+1.5%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Matthias is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (276).
Matthias shoots left. Fiddler is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Home / Away
Matthias
Fiddler
Home
48.5% (198)
54.0% (489)
Away
37.0% (235)
50.5% (493)
By Period
Matthias
Fiddler
P1
41.9%
52.9%
P2
47.5%
51.6%
P3
37.5%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
42.3%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |