Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dries shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Dries 49.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dries 55.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 57.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 57.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Howden
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Howden
Dries
Last 10: Howden 6-4 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dries
1
2
Howden
Dries
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Dries
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Dries
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
49.1% (401)
+4.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.0% (60)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
50.0% (10)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Dries has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Howden is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Howden shoots left. Dries is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Howden
Dries
Home
55.2% (96)
54.3% (265)
Away
48.9% (131)
44.2% (206)
By Period
Howden
Dries
P1
42.0%
45.8%
P2
55.8%
54.3%
P3
55.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |