Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dries on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 52.1% vs Dries 49.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dries 83.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 65.5%
Neutral zone
Dries 51.8%
Result
Sheldon Dries favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Johnson
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Johnson
Dries
Last 5: Johnson 2-3 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dries
1
2
Johnson
Dries
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johnson
Dries
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (186)
49.1% (401)
+6.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
55.0% (60)
+45.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (37)
50.0% (10)
-12.2%
On power play, Johnson has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Johnson is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Johnson shoots right. Dries is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Johnson
Dries
Home
51.6% (95)
54.3% (265)
Away
54.2% (131)
44.2% (206)
By Period
Johnson
Dries
P1
46.7%
45.8%
P2
50.5%
54.3%
P3
58.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Reese Johnson |