Scouting Report
Blake Pietila holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pietila wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pietila 50.3% vs Crosby 48.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 71.7%
Defensive zone
Pietila 60.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 55.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Pietila
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pietila
Crosby
Last 6: Pietila 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Pietila
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pietila
1
0
Pietila
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pietila
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pietila
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (33)
46.8% (1,360)
+7.7%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
53.8% (357)
+46.2%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
45.2% (31)
-15.2%
On power play, Pietila has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Pietila is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Pietila shoots left. Crosby is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Pietila
Crosby
Home
54.2% (24)
51.0% (867)
Away
47.6% (21)
45.4% (881)
By Period
Pietila
Crosby
P1
50.0%
50.8%
P2
50.0%
47.9%
P3
53.8%
46.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pietila
38.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2017 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Blake Pietila |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 3 | 08:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Blake Pietila |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |