Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 51.7%). Look for Sutter on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sutter wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.9% vs Crosby 51.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 64.5%
Defensive zone
Sutter 71.4%
Neutral zone
Sutter 57.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Sutter
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Sutter
Crosby
Last 6: Sutter 5-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
4
1
Sutter
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (187)
51.9% (1,456)
+2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
52.8% (392)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
39.0% (59)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Sutter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Sutter shoots right. Crosby is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Sutter
Crosby
Home
57.3% (164)
52.4% (976)
Away
45.6% (114)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Sutter
Crosby
P1
49.4%
51.6%
P2
52.3%
53.1%
P3
54.3%
51.0%
OT
71.4%
40.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
52.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |