Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Crosby 48.3% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 89.8%
Defensive zone
Sutter 52.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 69.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Sutter
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Sutter
Crosby
Last 8: Sutter 2-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Sutter
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Sutter
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
46.8% (1,360)
+7.8%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
53.8% (357)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (214)
45.2% (31)
+3.9%
On even strength, Sutter has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Sutter is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Sutter shoots right. Crosby is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Sutter
Crosby
Home
55.0% (714)
51.0% (867)
Away
53.5% (738)
45.4% (881)
By Period
Sutter
Crosby
P1
54.3%
50.8%
P2
53.1%
47.9%
P3
54.8%
46.5%
OT
63.3%
35.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |