Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyle wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.6% vs Crosby 51.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 64.9%
Defensive zone
Boyle 78.7%
Neutral zone
Boyle 58.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Boyle
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Boyle
Crosby
Last 6: Boyle 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Boyle
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (517)
51.9% (1,456)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
52.8% (392)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
39.0% (59)
+3.3%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Boyle is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Boyle shoots left. Crosby is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Boyle
Crosby
Home
52.4% (315)
52.4% (976)
Away
49.3% (367)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Boyle
Crosby
P1
51.1%
51.6%
P2
52.6%
53.1%
P3
48.3%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |