Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.7%). Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.2% vs Crosby 51.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 53.9%
Defensive zone
Little 75.9%
Neutral zone
Little 66.1%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Little
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Little
Crosby
Last 10: Little 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
4
Little
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
Little
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
3
1
Little
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (895)
51.9% (1,456)
-1.3%
Power Play
61.6% (216)
52.8% (392)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (203)
39.0% (59)
+4.3%
On power play, Little has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Little is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Little shoots right. Crosby is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Little
Crosby
Home
51.6% (628)
52.4% (976)
Away
51.0% (686)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Little
Crosby
P1
52.0%
51.6%
P2
49.3%
53.1%
P3
53.0%
51.0%
OT
38.5%
40.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |