Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rowney wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 47.8% vs Crosby 55.1% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 52.9%
Defensive zone
Rowney 88.3%
Neutral zone
Rowney 69.4%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Rowney
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Rowney
Crosby
Last 6: Rowney 1-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Rowney
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (60)
55.9% (676)
-5.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.7% (171)
-56.7%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (42)
46.3% (41)
-5.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Rowney is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Rowney shoots right. Crosby is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Rowney
Crosby
Home
50.9% (57)
57.7% (454)
Away
39.1% (46)
53.5% (434)
By Period
Rowney
Crosby
P1
48.6%
55.9%
P2
50.0%
53.0%
P3
37.5%
57.7%
Final 5 min
42.3%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
45.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |