Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 46.8% vs Crosby 48.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 83.2%
Defensive zone
Paquette 80.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Paquette
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Paquette
Crosby
Last 6: Paquette 3-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Paquette
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (347)
46.8% (1,360)
+2.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
53.8% (357)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (80)
45.2% (31)
-10.2%
On power play, Crosby has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Paquette is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Paquette shoots left. Crosby is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Paquette
Crosby
Home
42.3% (182)
51.0% (867)
Away
48.8% (252)
45.4% (881)
By Period
Paquette
Crosby
P1
51.3%
50.8%
P2
46.1%
47.9%
P3
40.3%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
35.1%
Final 5 min
41.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |