Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Paquette wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 50.8% vs Crosby 55.1% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Paquette 59.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 91.1%
Neutral zone
Paquette 75.6%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Paquette
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Paquette
Crosby
Last 10: Paquette 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
7
Paquette
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (529)
55.9% (676)
-4.7%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
56.7% (171)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
46.3% (41)
+0.4%
On even strength, Crosby has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Paquette is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Paquette shoots left. Crosby is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Paquette
Crosby
Home
51.9% (339)
57.7% (454)
Away
49.6% (282)
53.5% (434)
By Period
Paquette
Crosby
P1
52.7%
55.9%
P2
53.1%
53.0%
P3
47.1%
57.7%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |