Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cave on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 50.1% vs Crosby 55.1% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 92.0%
Defensive zone
Crosby 67.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 76.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Cave
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cave
Crosby
Last 7: Cave 5-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Cave
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cave
4
0
Cave
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cave
1
0
Cave
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (356)
54.7% (1,423)
-3.9%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
62.1% (327)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
40.8% (76)
+6.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Cave is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Cave shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,229).
Home / Away
Cave
Crosby
Home
46.7% (184)
56.2% (907)
Away
53.0% (215)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Cave
Crosby
P1
45.3%
55.7%
P2
51.9%
55.0%
P3
53.6%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
48.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Colby Cave |